Last Saturday was one of the better Fight Night cards of the year, but this weekend brings us a Fight Night with little in the way of star power but a lot in the way of outside the octagon drama. See CTE and boomerangs…
The main card starts at 10pm eastern on Fox Sports 1, while the prelims are at 8pm also on Fox Sports 1. The early prelims are at 6:30pm on Fight Pass.
Now let’s get down to business.
Bec Rawlings has had a forgettable run in the UFC, but she does have a decent “meat and potatoes” style of game. However, she is also extremely hittable, and Jessica-Rose Clark ($7,600) is a more than decent striker who should make Rawlings pay as she tries to close the distance. Even if there is no finish, Clark should land enough shots on Rawlings to make her cheap price more than worthwhile.
I think that Elias Theodorou is awesome. But Dan Kelly ($7,200) is really cheap and has a knack for surprising victories. Could Elias win this? Most likely. But there is also a very clear path to a Kelly victory as he will own the clinch, a place where Elias usually has the advantage. And Kelly’s UFC losses have come against heavy hitters, which Elias is not.
Alex Volkanovski ($9,500) has the highest price on the card for a reason. He had three different opponents scheduled on this card before the UFC finally found Shane Young to step in. Young is probably not UFC level talent, and while Volkanovski hasn’t necessarily fought world-beaters, he more than belongs in the UFC and should put Young to bed early.
Frank Comacho ($8,400) has legit power in his hands and fights with a style to show off that power. Fortunately for him, his opponent, Damien Brown, also fights with a style for Camacho to show off that power. Both fighters are all offense, no defense, types, but Comacho has the better ability to make his opponent pay for it.
Alex Chambers is almost 40 and hasn’t fought in two years. Her opponent, Nadia Kassem ($8,300) is making her UFC debut at 22 years old. Historically, Chambers has struggled against physical pressure fighters, and Kassem is just that with a clinch-heavy Muey Thai style. While Chambers is a definite step-up in competition for the newcomer, this is a good matchup for her to show her skills.
Adam Wieczorek ($8,700) was supposed to fight Anthony Hamilton a month ago in Gdansk, Poland, and I had to make last-minute adjustments to my DFS lineup when soccer hooligans forced their fight to be postponed. I finally get to put the big Polish fighter in my lineup this weekend, and he should reward me with a nasty first-round finish. Hamilton’s chin is done, and Wieczorek will find it early.