UFC Winnipeg – Daily Fantasy Picks

Day 16

The UFC is back on big FOX (or is that big Disney?) this Saturday with stacked card live and free from Winnipeg, Canada. A lot of good matchmaking is in place, not least of which is the main event, a potential title eliminator pitting Ruthless Robbie Lawler against Rafael Dos Anjos.

The main card starts at 8pm on Fox, while the prelims start at 5pm on Fox Sports 1. The early prelim fight is at 4:30pm on Fight Pass.

In previous iterations of this series of DFS advice, I have laid out a complete lineup. However, I will be going with a different format today, and possibly in the future. Instead of a complete lineup, I will discuss various “value” picks, as well as a few picks that I would avoid.

I use DraftKings for my UFC daily fantasy fix, so if you don’t have an account you can sign up here (and get a 50% bonus on your initial deposit). Also, you can check out the scoring criteria here.

Now let’s get down to business.

Value Picks

  • Mike Perry ($7,500), has a tough opponent in Santiago Ponzinibbio, and the price reflects that. Both men have power, both men throw (and land) a lot, and both men get hit a lot. This is a recipe for a barn burner. Ponzinibbio has the skill set to frustrate Perry by maintaining distance and kicking from long range, but this has not been his style in recent fights. If he decides to engage in close quarters, which has been his MO recently, Perry will have plenty of opportunities to land his crushing power shot. Fight ending power and a low price-tag? Sign me up.
  • John Makdessi ($7,300) has a price-tag that reflects his recent 1-3 streak in the UFC. However, those losses were against the likes of Donald Cerrone, Yancy Mederiros, and Lando Vanata. His opponent, Abel Trujillo, has incredible power, but a limited gas tank. Makdessi can use his striking accuracy (second highest significant strike accuracy in the lightweight division) to make Trujillo work from range and wear him down over the course of the fight. Trujillo would be the sexy pick, but that price makes Makdessi the value pick.

Avoid

  • Both Robbie Lawler ($8,100) and Rafael Dos Anjos ($8,100) have been in their respective shares of firefights, but this is a very difficult fight to predict. These two fighters are very evenly matched, and both have legitimate power that the other fighter must respect. I can easily see a 25 minute technical bout with a few peaks but far more valleys. Good fighting, but nothing that will win you a tournament. Your salary space can be better used elsewhere.
  • I’ve been a fan of Jordan Mein ($8,400) for awhile, and his old style lent itself to significant DFS value. However, ever since he returned from his early “retirement”, it looks as if his heart simply is not into fighting anymore. He seems to lack any killer instinct at this point in his career and I would avoid him until we see that change.
Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s