UFC Sao Paulo Daily Fantasy Picks

If this card was a PPV it would’ve been canceled, as UFC Fight Night 137 has been hit with a serious case of the injury bug. It basically looks like an entirely different card from what was originally announced. Luckily, what it now lacks in relevance it at least attempts to make up for in some serious action fights.

The main card kicks off at 10:30pm eastern on Fox Sports 1, while the prelims start at 8:30pm on Fox Sports 2.  The early prelims kick things off at 6:30pm on UFC Fight Pass.

I use DraftKings for my UFC daily fantasy fix, so if you don’t have an account you can sign up here (and get a 50% bonus on your initial deposit). Also, you can check out the scoring criteria here.

Now let’s get down to business.

Value Picks                     

Value Picks

  • Andre Ewell ($7,700) is taking on the former bantamweight kingpin Renan Barao. The former champ’s struggles started when TJ Dillashaw shocked the world, and haven’t subsided since. He seems to struggle against hard pressure fighters now, and Ewell is nothing but pressuring. Ewell’s ceiling might be that of a fun action fighter, but that is just the kind of fighter who has been giving Barao problems now.
  • Mayra Bueno Silva ($7,900) is taking on a more proven fighter, and they both seem to have the same strengths. However, Silva is fighting in her home country, and looks to be a much more dynamic athlete. I’ll run with that upside given her price tag. Besides, her nickname is “Cheetara”. 90s kids know what I’m talking about.

Avoid

  • Sergio Moraes ($9,100) takes on the declining Ben Saunders, but I’m not ready to take him here for a couple of reasons. First, that price tag is reserved for either a sure thing or someone whitch cray high upside. Second, the stylistic matchup between these two does not highlight Saunders’s primary weakness, his chin. Both fighters are good grapplers, and I have a hard time seeing Moraes landing a big shot on Saunders.
  • Francisco Trinaldo ($8,900) is fighting a guy who has already stated that he is retiring after this fight, but Trinaldo is still the older one… Both Trinaldo and Evan Dunham are extremely well-rounded, but neither fighter is known for very high DFS scores. Add that to the fact that this is close fight to call in the first place, and I’m spending that cap space elsewhere.
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