It’s the beginning of a new era as ESPN takes over where FOX left off. And thankfully for us, the UFC learned from its past mistakes and is giving us a full card as opposed to its first foray with FOX, a one fight card that ended in the first round…
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Value Picks
- How does Donald Cerrone ($7,600) always end up here? Yes, he’s fighting a younger fighter in Alexander Hernandez who has had surprising success in the UFC so far. Yes, “Cowboy” is on the tail end of his career and has shown signs of age recently. However, he is returning to his lightweight home, and Hernandez seems to be the kind of fighter that will play into Cerrone’s game. I’m with Cowboy for at least one more ride.
- Vinicius Moreira ($7,100) is a nobody, but that’s how he’s so cheap despite his penchant for finishing fighters via submission. His opponent is also a relative nobody, but is the more imposing athlete who finishes fighters via strikes. Either way, this is going to be quick, but someone is finishing someone, and Moreira is so cheap that I’m going to take the flyer.
Avoid
- Cory Sandhagen ($9,300) has had an impressive UFC run, and is rightfully the favorite this weekend. However, while his opponent, Mario Bautista, is relatively raw, he seems to have a solid striking game and the wrestling chops to take advantage of Cory if he gets too aggressive. Cory’s the favorite, but far from a sure thing.
- Greg Hardy ($9,500). The co-main eventer is set-up for a victory here, and a first round KO seems likely. However, Allen Crowder has the wrestling skill to grind Hardy down for a victory if he is able to withstand that round 1 blitz. Given Hardy’s past indiscretions, let’s hope for an incredibly ugly Crowder victory.