UFC 226 Daily Fantasy Picks

International Fight Week culminates in what was the EPIC card, before Max Holloway had to pull of out the co-main event with yet another medical issue. Fortunately, the EPIC card is still an epic card, with the super fight of champ vs. champ in Heavyweight Stipe Miocic and Light Heavyweight Daniel Cormier headlining a night of action fights.

The main card kicks off at 10pm eastern on pay-per-view, while the prelims start at 8pm, on Fox Sports 1. The early pre-lims start at 7pm on Fight Pass.

I use DraftKings for my UFC daily fantasy fix, so if you don’t have an account you can sign up here (and get a 50% bonus on your initial deposit). Also, you can check out the scoring criteria here.

Now let’s get down to business.

Value Picks

  • Former lightweight champion Anthony Pettis ($7,600) has had a tough run of late, with the book on how to beat him essentially a New York Times bestseller. However, luckily for him, Michael Chiesa is not the kind of hitter or pressure fighter that can make Pettis pay. Chiesa is most comfortable aggressively hunting submissions, arguably one of Showtime’s greatest strengths. Pettis should be able to neutralize Chiesa’s attack, and land enough showtime offense to put this in the bag.
  • World champion BJJ athlete Gilbert Burns ($7,700) recently learned how to hit, as evidenced by back-to-back clean KO victories. Dan Hooker is arguably still better on the feet, but he knows that he cannot go to the mat with Burns, which should give the Brazilian plenty of openings. Whether by another clean KO, or a knockdown followed by a submission, Burns gets the W.

Avoid

  • Will Raphael Assuncao ($9,100) win? Probably. But this is a fighter who has won multiple UFC fights without cracking 60 DraftKings points. Rob Font can probably make anyone actually fight, but I’m not using that kind of cap space to make that bet.
  • I mentioned above that Michael Chiesa ($8,600) does not have the style that screams “I’m going to beat Anthony Pettis”. This price tag is essentially a result of the vastly different recent trajectories of both fighters. Pettis should be able to effectively neutralize Chiesa’s strengths, so I am going elsewhere with my money.
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